Why forward-only records matter

Publish before the outcome

The selection, event, market, recorded price, and publication time should exist before the result is known. That order matters: it prevents hindsight from choosing only the analysis that happened to work.

Keep every loss

A trustworthy record retains wins, losses, pushes, and voids. It does not quietly remove a bad day, relabel a selection, or reset history when performance turns down. Legitimate settlement corrections should update the same entry rather than create a better-looking replacement.

Lock the comparison rules

• Record the price and spread point that applied when the selection was published.
• Use one disclosed stake convention when comparing returns.
• Show the start date and number of settled selections.
• Explain overlapping tracks so the same pick is not counted as several independent wins.
• Keep current or unsettled picks separate from the public settled view.

What the record can and cannot show

Over time, a forward-only record can show whether a process was applied consistently and how its published decisions performed under the stated comparison rules. It cannot guarantee future results, eliminate variance, or prove that a short streak will continue.